Earnings calls / PSPPROJECT · July 30, 2026

PSP Projects Ltd Q1 FY27 Earnings Call Summary

Q1 FY'27 revenue rose 65% YoY to ₹853 cr, EBITDA up 121% to ₹55 cr (6.42% margin), net profit ₹18 cr. Growth came from execution on the ₹13,245 cr order book (103% YoY, 70% Adani), but margins lagged because employee cost hit 5.4% of sales due to April-May labor shortages and low revenue conversion. Management maintained FY'27 guidance of ₹4,000-4,500 cr revenue, 7-8% EBITDA margin, and ₹5,000-6,000 cr order inflow, with net debt-free in 2-3 quarters and UP medical EOT closure by mid-September. Main risks are Adani concentration, ₹90 cr SDB receivables, and fixed-price exposure on external orders despite cost-plus pass-through on Adani contracts.

Revenue
Margin
Demand
Guidance
Tone

Event Participants

Executives

4 Krishna Patel, Prahaladbhai Shivrambhai Patel, Pooja Patel, Hetal Patel

Analysts

11 Aayush Saboo, Balasubramanian A, Dhananjay Mishra, Jainam Jain, Jainam Shah, Rushabh Shah, Sanjay Kohli, Shravan Shah, Vaibhav Shah, Vishal Periwal, Unidentified Participant

Financials & KPIs

Metric Reported Commentary
Revenue from Operations ₹853 crores +65% YoY vs ₹518 crores; strong execution despite Q1 seasonality (labor migration, monsoon onset)
EBITDA ₹55 crores +121% YoY vs ₹25 crores; margin 6.42% vs 4.79%, compressed by elevated employee cost deploy
EBITDA Margin 6.42% +163 bps YoY; employee cost at 5.39% of sales vs normalized ~4.5% due to lower April-May sales conversion
Net Profit ₹18 crores ~50x YoY vs ₹0.37 crores; margin 2.12% vs 0.07%
Employee Cost ₹46 crores +31% YoY vs ₹35 crores; annual increments (April) + headcount up from ~2,400 to ~2,600
Depreciation ₹26 crores +53% YoY vs ₹17 crores; additions to asset block during FY'26 and Q1 FY'27
Capex ₹28 crores In line with 3-4% of revenue guidance; gross block ₹793 crores, net block ₹417 crores
Order Book (Consolidated) ₹13,245 crores +103% YoY; 70% group projects, 30% external
Order Inflow (Q1) ₹630 crores 93% from Adani Group; includes Adani Healthcare, Mumbai Airport T1 office, Mundra projects
Bid Pipeline ₹6,200+ crores 61% group projects, 39% external
Trade Receivables ₹745 crores Includes SDB ₹90 crores and UP medical receivables in resolution
Mobilization Advances ₹836 crores Entirely interest-free, supporting working capital
Net Unbilled Revenue ₹473 crores UP medical unbilled component expected to materialize post-EOT
Total Fixed Deposits ₹324 crores ₹139 crores lien-free; ₹185 crores under lien for credit facilities/security deposits
Credit Facility Utilization ₹166 crores (fund-based) ₹678 crores non-fund; ₹653 crores limit available; finance cost trending down
Total Borrowings ₹255 crores LT ₹38 crores (incl. ₹19 crores ST maturities), ST ₹217 crores; net debt-free expected in 2-3 quarters

Geographic & Segment Commentary

  • Order Book Mix: Industrial projects comprise 39%, residential 37%, government 23%, industrial ~1%. The portfolio is anchored by large Adani Group projects (70% of order book) with Ambaji Mata Temple (₹962 crores), SMC high-rise (₹693 crores), GIFT City fintech building (₹259 crores), and Science City gallery (₹248 crores) as key contributors.
  • Geographic Focus: Strategy remains concentrated on Gujarat and Mumbai only. Management explicitly stated no expansion into new regions, given sufficient visibility for the next two years. Mumbai focus is anchored on Dharavi redevelopment (₹3,000 crores order book, ~30,000-32,000 houses of 2 lakh target) and airport projects.
  • Project Execution Status: SMC core and shell complete with MEP/interiors/facade underway; RVNL two of three buildings nearing handover with hostel RCC complete; Ahmedabad Airport RCC in full swing; Ambaji at excavation/footing stage. Six projects completed during the quarter.

Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary

  • Organization Scaling: Employee headcount increased to ~2,600 from ~2,400 with strategic hiring across leadership and project management functions, positioning the company to execute a significantly larger portfolio. Management noted the capability ambition is to grow execution capacity 1.5-2x.
  • Dharavi Right of First Refusal: PSP holds first right of refusal on Dharavi redevelopment, contingent on delivery performance over the next 1-2 years. Current order book covers 2 projects (~30,000-32,000 houses); ability to secure additional projects depends on establishing Mumbai execution credentials.
  • Cost-Plus Model: All Adani projects operate on cost-plus/item-rate contracts with material cost pass-through. EBITDA level margin formula works out to ~7% for Adani projects and 8-9% for PSP-owned projects, with 1-2% variation based on geography and project typology.
  • Precast Capability: Precast plant capacity translates to ₹150-200 crores annual revenue potential, fully absorbed within project execution; management confirmed no separate disclosure of precast margins.

Guidance & Outlook

Metric Guidance / Outlook Commentary
Revenue (FY'27) ₹4,000-4,500 crores Sustained >25% average growth; Q1 delivers ₹853 crores; momentum to build from Q3 as labor normalizes
EBITDA Margin (FY'27) 7-8% (full year) H2-led improvement expected; Q1 impacted by employee cost at 5.4% of sales; scope to exceed range as execution ramps
Order Inflow (FY'27) ₹5,000-6,000 crores Adani Group inflow in the plus ₹5,000 crores range, ±₹400-500 crores; second/third quarter project awards pending
Capex (FY'27) 3-4% of revenue May trend slightly higher if large projects commence; no fixed commitment
Employee Cost ~4.5% of sales (normalized) Q1 at 5.4% due to April-May sales conversion lag; expected normalization from Q2
Up State Medical EOT Closure by end Aug/mid-Sep 2026 EOTs for 3 projects near signing; receivables and unbilled revenue to materialize thereafter
Net Debt Position Net debt-free in 2-3 quarters Finance cost already declining; mobilization advances interest-free; surplus FDs support deleveraging

Risks & Constraints

Risk Context
Adani Group Concentration ~70% of order book and 55-60% of quarterly revenue derived from Adani Group; order inflow concentration at 93% in Q1. Management views this as strategic advantage but concentration risk is structural. Cost-plus contract terms mitigate margin risk under inflation scenario.
Input Cost Escalation War-escalation impact on aluminum and copper prices affected SMC and RVNL activities. Management notes most Adani projects are pass-through cost contracts, but fixed-price exposure remains on ~₹5,500-6,000 crores of external orders, though largely under completion.
Labor Availability Q1 saw labor shortage impacting April-May revenue conversion (₹270 crores/month vs ₹319 crores in June). Management deploying 16,000+ laborers with 3,000-4,000 more required as projects scale. Ongoing normalization expected.
UP Medical Receivables Three projects pending EOT signing; receivables and unbilled revenue depend on resolution. Management expects closure by end August/mid-September 2026 but timing risk remains.
SDB Receivables ₹90 crores outstanding; meeting scheduled with top management next week. Outcome and collection timeline uncertain.
Execution Dilution Risk Employee cost inflation (5.4% of sales in Q1 vs 4.5% normalized) compresses margins; sustained higher employee cost without commensurate revenue growth would pressure full-year margin guidance.

Q&A Highlights

Revenue and Margin Guidance

  • Question: Is FY'27 revenue guidance of ₹4,500 crores and 20-25% growth intact? When will 7-8% EBITDA margin materialize? (Shravan Shah, Dolat Capital)
  • Answer: Revenue guidance maintained at ₹4,000-4,500 crores with >25% average growth. EBITDA margin of 7-8% expected from second half; Q1 employee cost of 5.39% of sales versus normalized 4.5% reflects April-May revenue conversion lag (₹270 crores/month vs ₹319 crores in June); recovering this INR7-8 crores overhead alone pushes EBITDA above 7%. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

Adani Order Inflow

  • Question: Does the ₹6,000+ crores Adani order inflow guidance for the year remain unchanged after ₹630 crores in Q1? (Shravan Shah, Dolat Capital)
  • Answer: We expect to remain in the ₹5,000+ crores range for Adani orders, ±₹400-500 crores. Multiple projects under discussion will materialize in Q2 and Q3, maintaining order inflow visibility. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

Commonwealth Projects Update

  • Question: Any status update on the Commonwealth Games project tender? Is it included in order inflow guidance? (Dhananjay Mishra, Centrum Broking)
  • Answer: Movement has started - a control room is being set up in Ahmedabad and the Home Minister recently visited Glasgow for discussions. Expect clarity in the next quarter. Government projects are not included in order inflow guidance until orders are formally cleared. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

UP Medical Receivables

  • Question: Progress on UP medical project collection? (Dhananjay Mishra, Centrum Broking)
  • Answer: EOT for three projects is near signing; visited Lucknow for the remaining projects. Expectation is to close the account by end August or mid-September, with both receivables and unbilled revenue materializing. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

SDB Receivables

  • Question: Any update on SDB receivables and outstanding amount? (Vaibhav Shah, JM Financial)
  • Answer: Outstanding is ₹90 crores. Management has been called for discussion with directors next week; no clear direction yet on resolution. (Prahaladbhai Patel; Hetal Patel)

Dharavi Scale and Future Opportunities

  • Question: What is the Dharavi contribution to order book and housing unit count? (Vishal Periwal, PL Capital; Shravan Shah, Dolat Capital)
  • Answer: Two projects contribute ~₹3,000 crores to order book, translating to ~30,000-32,000 houses (₹10-12 lakh per house, 350 sq ft at ₹3,500/sq ft) out of the two lakh total Dharavi housing requirement. Once these projects stabilize beyond foundation stage, PSP can take up third/fourth Dharavi projects, given the right of first refusal. The full cycle spans 5-6 years for redevelopment before land redevelopment begins. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

Cost-Plus Contract Mechanics

  • Question: What is the margin range on cost-plus/pass-through projects? (Sanjay Kohli, Gold Stone Capital)
  • Answer: All Adani projects are item-rate cost-plus contracts where material purchase price differences are settled in running bills. Consolidated EBITDA margin formula is ~7% for Adani projects, 8-9% for PSP projects, with 1-2% execution variance based on geography (Mumbai +3%, Mundra +1.5%) and project typology. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

Data Center Segment

  • Question: Is PSP entering the data center EPC segment and what size could it contribute? (Jainam Shah, Equirus Securities)
  • Answer: Data centers are a building-type opportunity but no current orders; not part of Mumbai/Visakhapatnam data center development. Future potential exists via Dholera data center and defense corridors, and Adani Medicity projects (Ahmedabad started; Mumbai in 3-4 months). Focus remains on airports, realty, Adani townships at Mundra, and Medicity. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

Standalone vs Consolidated Revenue

  • Question: What is the standalone-consolidated revenue difference and which projects sit in the subsidiary? (Vaibhav Shah, JM Financial)
  • Answer: ~₹80 crores of revenue is booked in the subsidiary, all from Adani Group miscellaneous projects. All guidance is provided on a consolidated basis going forward. (Hetal Patel)

Dharavi Housing Economics

  • Question: Does the ₹3,000 crores order book cover all 45,000-50,000 houses or fewer? (Shravan Shah, Dolat Capital)
  • Answer: Order book covers ~30,000-32,000 houses at ₹10-12 lakh per unit (350 sq ft, ₹3,500/sq ft); the total two lakh-house requirement provides scope for additional projects as PSP demonstrates capability in Mumbai. (Prahaladbhai Patel)

Key Takeaway

PSP Projects delivered a strong Q1 FY'27 with revenue of ₹853 crores (+65% YoY), EBITDA of ₹55 crores (+121% YoY) at 6.42% margin, and net profit of ₹18 crores, despite Q1 seasonality and elevated employee cost (5.4% of sales). The outstanding order book of ₹13,245 crores (+103% YoY) is anchored by Adani Group projects (70% share) with Dharavi redevelopment (~₹3,000 crores, 30,000+ houses) as the strategic centerpiece. Management maintained FY'27 guidance of ₹4,000-4,500 crores revenue, 7-8% EBITDA margin (H2-led), and ₹5,000-6,000 crores order inflow, with cost-plus contract mechanics insulating margins from input cost inflation. Key watch points include the Adani concentration risk, UP medical (EOT pending) and SDB (₹90 crores) receivable resolutions, and the company's ability to scale execution capacity (16,000+ laborers, 2,600 employees) to capture the next wave of Dharavi and Adani orders while achieving net debt-free status within 2-3 quarters.

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