Event Participants
Executives
5 Sanjeev Agarwal (CEO, Inox Wind), Devansh Jain (Executive Director, Inox GFL Group), S.K. Mathur Sudhan (CEO, Inox Green), Bibhu Prasad Sahoo (Group CFO, Inox GFL Group), Shweta Sultania (Head of IR, Inox Wind)
Analysts
12 Akhilesh B. (Northstop), Atul Joby (Prosperity Wealth), Bahubali (Kattappa Investments), Bhagwat (Prosperity Wealth), Dashil Zaveri (Crown Capital), Deepak Sharma (Individual Investor), Preet (Wealth Adviser), Rahul Kumar (Vikarya), Rishabh Gupta (Individual Investor), Shubham Borade (ICICI Securities), Shubham Shukla (Voyager Capital), Vikash Agarwal (Individual Investor)
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Inox Wind Revenue | ₹872 crores | ~Flat YoY; H2-heavy business (70-75% of annual revenue in H2); transition quarter post pivot |
| Inox Wind Adjusted EBITDA | ₹237 crores | Margin ~27% (vs. 17-18% a year ago); improvement driven by equipment-supply pivot |
| Inox Wind PBT | ₹95 crores | — |
| Inox Wind PAT | ₹64 crores | — |
| Inox Wind Cash Profit | ₹153 crores | — |
| Inox Green Total Income | ₹101 crores | +17% YoY; value-added services (overhauls, life extension) booked as other income |
| Inox Green EBITDA | ₹57 crores | +19% YoY |
| Inox Green PBT | ₹54 crores | +74% YoY |
| Inox Green PAT | ₹41 crores | +86% YoY |
| Inox Green Cash PAT | ₹55 crores | +25% YoY |
| Inox Green Machine Availability | ~96.3% | Overall portfolio average; improved post infrastructure investments |
| Order Book (Inox Wind) | ~4.4 GW | As of July 2026; 59% equipment supply / ~40% turnkey (excl. Inox GFL entities); 24-36 months visibility |
| Inox Green O&M Portfolio | 13.3 GW | ~10.5 GW wind + solar; includes ~6.5 GW of acquired operational wind O&M (Wind World India + 1 other) |
| O&M Per-MW Revenue | ₹9-10 lakhs/MW | Blended for ~4 GW organic wind portfolio; acquired portfolios expected to be substantially higher |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
Wind Equipment Supply: Order book mix now ~59% equipment supply vs. turnkey; pivot designed to reduce working capital cycles and receivables, with financial benefits expected to reflect meaningfully from Q3 FY27 onward as multiple turbine units are produced and inspected monthly.
Turnkey/EPC (IRSL): ~40% of third-party order book remains turnkey; pipeline reinforced by 1.5 GW MoU with Inox Clean (500 MW firm) and 200 MW LOA from NLC India; IRSL expanding beyond EPC into transformers (4.9 MVA for 4.X, 8-20 MVA medium, 100+ MVA large), cranes (4 owned, more arriving), and power electronics (inverters, unit substations, capacitor systems) to compensate for any EPC volume reduction.
O&M Services (Inox Green): 13.3 GW portfolio; machine availability 96.3%; EBITDA margin guided at ~50% on O&M; expanding turbine life-extension offerings (up to 35 years vs. standard 25 years) with substantial headroom; demerger of power evacuation infrastructure to IRSL completed; Inox Green now asset-light with improved ROE/ROCE.
Wind World India Acquisition (Inox Green): NCLT Ahmedabad approval received; completion expected Q2 FY27; ~4.5 GW O&M portfolio; marquee clients (Tata, ReNew, Greenko, Apraava, Hindustan Zinc); FY26 revenue ~₹580 crores with ~5% annual price escalations; integration efforts underway with consolidation from Q3-Q4 FY27.
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
4.X MW Turbine Model: Foundation works complete, tower and main components ready; first prototype installation in August 2026, commercial launch expected by end of September 2026 (FY27); management also contemplating higher ratings if demand warrants.
Indigenization & ALMM: ~80-90% of turbine components already indigenized; targeting ~100% by end of calendar year 2026; positions Inox Wind with a ~3-year competitive advantage under ALMM regime over import-dependent peers.
Inox Clean Group Synergy: Inox Clean plans 3+ GW of IPP capacity annually (~30% wind); MoU for 1.5 GW signed (June 2026) with 500 MW firm orders; management confirms all inter-group contracts are at arm's length with no preferential pricing and full customer-mode conduct (inspections, payment terms).
IRSL Expansion Program: Jaipur transformer plant scaling capacity; high-margin power electronics (inverters, unit substations, energy capacitor systems) planned with USS commercial launch in FY27; short-payback investments expected to expand IRSL revenue and margins; IRSL listing expected within 1-3 months post regulatory approvals.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Inox Wind Revenue Growth (FY27) | +75% YoY (maintained) | H2-heavy: 70-75% of revenues in H2; Q1 transition due to equipment pivot; Q2 end/Q3 onward shows step-change |
| Inox Wind EBITDA Margin (FY27) | 20-22% consolidated (maintained) | Q1 FY27 actual ~27%; comfortable headroom |
| Inox Green EBITDA Margin | ~50% on O&M business | Quarterly variance from one-time expenses; value-added services now billed separately going forward |
| Inox Green EBITDA | ~₹600 crores annualized (from Q3-Q4 FY27) | Post-consolidation of Wind World India; ~5% annual price escalation in acquired portfolio |
| 4.X MW Commercial Launch | September 2026 (FY27) | Prototype operational August 2026 |
| Industry Wind Additions | 8-10 GW annually (next few years) | Q1 FY27 India commissioning: 1.4 GW; 2.35 GW standalone wind tenders awarded in Q1 (25% of total renewable tenders) |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Strategy Pivot Execution | Switch from turnkey to equipment supply caused Q1 revenue disruption (~flat YoY); management expects material improvement Q3 onward; historical guidance misses (revenue) acknowledged, though EBITDA margin exceeded guidance |
| Force Majeure / Macro Events | Management cites only force majeure events (e.g., Middle East crisis) as risk to FY27 guidance; no other internal risks acknowledged |
| Project Execution Delays | Legacy turnkey delays (right-of-way issues, weather, customer site readiness) drove deferred revenue (~₹400 crores in Q4 FY26); partially recognized in Q1, balance to be covered within FY27 |
| Group Entity Concentration | 1.5 GW MoU with Inox Clean is significant share of 4.4 GW order book; management asserts arm's-length terms, no preferential pricing; business terms mirror third-party customers |
| Working Capital / Receivables | Trade receivables elevated vs. peers from legacy EPC; management expects significant decline over 3-4 quarters as equipment supply scales and Ind AS 115 revenue recognition accelerates |
Q&A Highlights
Revenue & Guidance Execution
- Question: What caused the revenue disruption in Q1 and can we see ~100% growth in the next three quarters to hit 75% guidance? (Rishabh Gupta - Individual Investor; Shubham Borade - ICICI Securities; Atul Joby - Prosperity Wealth)
- Answer: Management maintained guidance of 75% YoY revenue growth and 20-22% EBITDA margin for FY27. Equipment supply model offers flexibility to shift supply to ready sites, faster revenue recognition and improved cash flow. Q1 is a transition quarter; approximately 25% of revenue typically lands in H1, and Q1 was ~flat YoY, on track barring 5-10%. Historical revenue guidance has been missed, but EBITDA margin has consistently improved (17-18% → 22% → 27%). (Bibhu Prasad Sahoo, Sanjeev Agarwal, Devansh Jain)
Group Entity Business Terms
- Question: Are terms with Inox Clean identical to third-party customers? (Akhilesh B. - Northstop)
- Answer: All inter-group contracts are at arm's length, legally compliant, with standard payment terms and full customer inspections. Inox Clean is treated purely as a customer; no preferential pricing exists. Inox Wind is equally dependent on Inox Clean as Inox Clean is on Inox Wind for secure supply. (Sanjeev Agarwal, Bibhu Prasad Sahoo)
Inox Green Per-MW Revenue & O&M Income Breakup
- Question: What is the blended per-MW realization and breakup of ₹57.9 crore other income? (Preet - Wealth Adviser; Rahul Kumar - Vikarya)
- Answer: ~₹9-10 lakhs/MW for the ~4 GW organic wind portfolio (excl. GST); acquired portfolios will be substantially higher but not consolidated yet. Of the ~₹57 crore other income, ₹50 crore+ is operational (acquired assets + value-added services), balance is treasury income; detailed split not disclosed. (Bibhu Prasad Sahoo, Shweta Sultania, Sanjeev Agarwal)
Wind World India Consolidation & EBITDA Trajectory
- Question: Does the ~₹600 crore EBITDA guidance apply from Q3-Q4 only, and is FY27 achievable? (Bhagwat - Prosperity Wealth)
- Answer: ~₹600 crore is annualized guidance from Q3-Q4 onwards post-consolidation; management confirmed it is not a quarterly number. NCLT approval received, completion expected Q2 FY27, financial consolidation Q3-Q4 onward. (Bibhu Prasad Sahoo)
Working Capital & Trade Receivables
- Question: Why are receivables higher than peers and how will the EPC/equipment mix change this? (Shubham Shukla - Voyager Capital)
- Answer: Receivables under Ind AS 115 get recognized on risk transfer; some revenues stuck until commissioning of EPC projects. Equipment pivot provides client flexibility, faster material movement, and significant decline in receivables over the next 3-4 quarters. Working capital cycle already improving on annualized basis. (Sanjeev Agarwal, Bibhu Prasad Sahoo)
ALMM & Indigenization Advantage
- Question: When will ALMM benefit flow through? (Vikash Agarwal - Individual Investor)
- Answer: 80-90% of wind turbine components are already indigenized; targeting ~100% by end of calendar year 2026 for both 3.X and 4.X models. Management expects ~3-year structural cost/competitive advantage from Make in India initiative and ALMM. (Sanjeev Agarwal)
ResCo Listing & EPC Pipeline
- Question: When will IRSL list and does EPC shrinkage hurt its revenue visibility? (Deepak Sharma - Individual Investor)
- Answer: Record date (August 1, 2026) passed; listing expected within 1-3 months subject to regulatory approvals; no projections shared pre-listing. EPC pipeline remains robust — 40% of third-party order book is turnkey, plus 1.5 GW Inox Clean MoU and 200 MW NLC LOA; IRSL's transformer, crane, and power-electronics expansion further offsets any EPC reduction. (Bibhu Prasad Sahoo, Sanjeev Agarwal, Devansh Jain)
Risks to FY27 Guidance
- Question: What risks could prevent achieving the 75% growth target? (Dashil Zaveri - Crown Capital)
- Answer: Only force majeure events (e.g., Middle East crisis); management sees no operational risk to deliverables given 4.4 GW backlog (24-36 months), repeat customers (NLC India, marquee IPPs/C&I), and equipment-supply flexibility. (Sanjeev Agarwal)
Key Takeaway
Inox Wind reported a flat Q1 FY27 with consolidated revenue of ₹872 crores, EBITDA of ₹237 crores (27% margin, up from 17-18% a year ago), and PAT of ₹64 crores, as the strategic pivot to equipment supply (now 59% of the 4.4 GW order book) caused expected near-term disruption. Inox Green delivered strong YoY growth (total income +17%, PAT +86%) with O&M portfolio at 13.3 GW, and received NCLT approval for the transformative Wind World India acquisition (4.5 GW, ₹580 crore FY26 revenue, 5% annual escalations), expected to consolidate from Q3-Q4 FY27. Management maintained FY27 guidance of 75% revenue growth and 20-22% EBITDA margin, citing the H2-heavy nature of the business, a 1.5 GW MoU with Inox Clean (500 MW firm), NLC India's 200 MW LOA, and the 4.X MW turbine prototype installing in August 2026 with commercial launch in September. Key watch points include execution of the equipment-supply pivot, working capital reduction trajectory, IRSL listing, and Wind World India integration — with management insisting only force majeure could derail its delivered guidance.