Metrics raised 1
- Mar-2027 total debt target raised to ~₹535 crores (from ~₹525 crores at Mar-2026)
Metrics cut 2
- 17.6 MW solar + 7.8 MW repowering commissioning deferred to Sep-2026 (from June-2026)
- Blended cost of borrowings target cut to ~9% (from ~9.1% currently)
Event Participants
Executives (2)
J. Kotteswari (CFO), T. Shivaraman (MD & CEO)
Analysts (8)
Diya Jain (Sapphire Capital), Faisal Hawa (HG Hawa & Company), Manoj Bagadia (Equicorp), Narendra (Individual Investor), Pragyam Laddha (Omni Management LLP), Rakesh T (Individual Investor), Shivam Tumma (Individual Investor), Shreesha Rudrani (Individual Investor)
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Incremental wind capacity | 3.3 MW commissioned in Q1 FY27; 9.9 MW available (incl. 6.6 MW from Q4 FY26) | New capacity partially offset lower wind availability in Q1 |
| Solar capacity | 7 MW commissioned Dec-2025; 17.6 MW under implementation | 17.6 MW greenfield solar expected commissioning by Sep-2026 |
| Revenue from operations | ₹81.43 crores | Down 7% YoY on delayed/muted wind season |
| EBITDA | ₹60.01 crores | Down 9% YoY; O&M costs largely fixed, so margin stable |
| PAT | ₹23.94 crores | Down 16% YoY; also impacted by lower interest income (rights issue proceeds deployed) and higher depreciation |
| Blended cost of borrowings | ~9.1% | Down from 9.75% on the IREDA Beta loan three years ago; targeting ~9% blended |
| Quarterly interest cost | ₹13–14 crores | Stable in FY27; expected to fall next year as ₹90–100 crores of debt is repaid |
| Total debt | ~₹535 crores by Mar-2027 (vs ~₹525 crores Mar-2026) | Net increase ~₹70 crores: ~₹170 crores additions (Delta solar, 10 MW assets, Clarion repowering) vs ~₹100 crores repayments |
| Carry-forward tax losses | ~₹800–850 crores | Available as tax shield against future profits |
| Andhra Pradesh interest receivable | Provision under Ind-AS expected credit loss; APERC non-functional delaying recovery |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- Wind – India: Q1 FY27 generation was lower YoY due to a delayed monsoon; Q2-to-date wind availability has been "reasonably good" and turbine availability/performance is satisfactory. The 9.9 MW incremental wind capacity (3.3 MW in Q1 + 6.6 MW in Q4 FY26) partially offset the generation shortfall.
- Solar – India: The 7 MW solar plant (commissioned Dec-2025) operated fully in Q1; 17.6 MW greenfield solar (Delta) is on track for Sep-2026 commissioning. Future solar projects will almost certainly include battery storage, and management sees at least 100 MW of hybrid solar potential across existing wind farm sites, subject to policy and economics.
- Repowering – Tamil Nadu: The 7.8 MW repowering at Clarion (under the TN repowering scheme) is expected by Sep-2026, delayed by the Tamil Nadu government transition. Next phases include ~2.8 MW at Clarion and ~17.5 MW at Gamma, totaling ~28 MW by end-FY28; site selection is based on low-performing windmills, and some urbanized sites may be monetized.
- Europe/Croatia: The 10.5 MW Croatian operating asset remains with the group; the company is liquidating a 100% Dutch intermediate holding company with no assets to simplify structure. The asset generates
EUR 1 million (₹9 crores) revenue per annum.
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- Growth to 1 GW: Management remains committed but has not offered a revised timeline; it is prioritizing brownfield/acquisitions and evaluating repowering. Debt alone can support only ~20–25 MW of incremental capacity, so equity or a strategic partner is essential.
- Capital & shareholder value: All alternatives—partnership/JV, rights/preferential issue, merger with a profitable renewable player, and promoter stake increase—are being evaluated simultaneously. PE investors' preference for unlisted entities and the low share price (~₹10) are key constraints; the ₹800–850 crores tax-loss cover is a potential M&A attraction.
- Cost & rating: Interest cost has been reduced consistently over the past 3–4 years; the rating trajectory is BBB- → BBB, targeting BBB+ and then A. A 15 bps reduction is being pursued via IREDA internal rating on the Beta loan.
- BESS & hybrid: Retrofitting battery storage to the existing 25 MW solar plant is under evaluation; BESS economics are challenging (single-cycle usage, battery costs on uptick), and the company is working with the Tamil Nadu government on regulatory changes to enable two-cycle battery operation.
- Regulatory & government: The Tamil Nadu government change stalled approvals; management expects all open regulatory issues to close in the next 2–3 months. APERC's non-functional status is delaying recovery of Andhra Pradesh interest.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| FY27 revenue & EBITDA | Equal to or better than FY26 | Wind makes precise guidance difficult; additional capacity (9.9 MW wind + 7 MW solar) and better Q2 wind should ensure improvement; margins sustainable as costs are predictable |
| Capacity commissioning | 17.6 MW solar + 7.8 MW repowering by Sep-2026 | Approval delays from Tamil Nadu government transition are behind; both projects progressing as per plan |
| Repowering pipeline | 15–20 MW added in FY28; ~28 MW by end-FY28 (Clarion 2.8 MW + Gamma 17.5 MW) | Based on feasibility study of lowest wind-generation machines; evaluated farm-by-farm |
| Debt & interest | ~₹535 crores debt by Mar-2027; ₹13–14 crores quarterly interest; blended rate toward ~9% | ~₹100 crores repayments partially offset by ~₹170 crores new debt; no significant further drawdown this year |
| Solar/battery | Future solar to include BESS; retrofit on existing 25 MW possible next year | Needs regulatory clarity in Tamil Nadu (expected in 2–3 months) and viable battery cost/cycle economics |
| 1 GW target | No revised timeline; still being pursued | Requires strategic/equity triggers; management expects "something to start moving" during FY27 |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Wind/monsoon variability | Q1 FY27 generation was hit by a delayed monsoon; FY27 wind season is likely to be similar to FY25 (less strong than FY26), limiting top-line visibility. Management is conservative on guidance, with "no levers other than ensuring machines are operational." |
| Capital constraints & share price | The stock at ~₹10 makes rights/preferential issuance unattractive; only ~20–25 MW of additional capacity can be funded through debt alone. Growth to 1 GW depends on an equity partner/acquisition, which has not yet materialized despite "three-four ongoing conversations." |
| Regulatory delays | Tamil Nadu government transition delayed approvals, pushing commissioning of solar and repowering from June to Sep-2026; APERC non-functionality delays recovery of ~₹20 crores Andhra Pradesh interest; BESS regulatory framework is incomplete. |
| Battery economics | Battery costs have risen after declining; single-cycle BESS costs are significant. Unless two-cycle usage is permitted, solar+battery returns may be suboptimal; policy modifications are being sought. |
| Execution/commissioning slippage | Any further delay in solar/repowering commissioning would reduce FY27 earnings contribution; management expects completion by Sep-2026. |
Q&A Highlights
Growth to 1 GW and capital raising
- Question: With the stock at ~₹10, further rights or preferential issuance is difficult; what is the new timeline to 1 GW and shareholder returns? (Faisal Hawa – HG Hawa & Company)
- Answer: No revised timeline; the company is not fully leveraged on existing assets and can fund ~20–25 MW incremental capacity through debt. Management is evaluating repowering, acquisitions, and multiple fund-raising options; "serious conversations" did not proceed as hoped, but something could move during FY27. (T. Shivaraman – MD & CEO)
Strategic alternatives to address capital shortage
- Question: Could a partner or merger with a profitable renewable player unlock value, given ₹800–850 crores of tax losses and domain experience? (Manoj Bagadia – Equicorp)
- Answer: All 3–4 alternatives—PE partner, group captive customer equity, merger, and rights issue—are being pursued simultaneously. PE investors prefer unlisted entities to avoid quarterly mark-to-market; group captive customers invest only the mandatory 26%. Management cannot comment until a proposal reaches the Board/shareholders. (T. Shivaraman – MD & CEO)
Wind season and FY27 outlook
- Question: How does the current wind season compare with last year, and is "equal to or better than last year" conservative? (Manoj Bagadia – Equicorp; Pragyam Laddha – Omni Management)
- Answer: Q1 was significantly worse YoY; Q2-to-date is roughly matching last year. The season looks more like FY25 than FY26. Guidance is conservative due to wind unpredictability; with 9.9 MW wind + 7 MW solar capacity additions, FY27 revenue/EBITDA should exceed last year, but the quantum depends on the monsoon. Margins are sustainable as O&M, interest and depreciation are predictable. (T. Shivaraman – MD & CEO)
Repowering pipeline and site selection
- Question: How much repowering is practically possible given site constraints, and could some land be better monetized? (Manoj Bagadia – Equicorp; Narendra – Individual Investor)
- Answer: Current 7.8 MW at Clarion will commission by Sep-2026; next phase is ~2.8 MW at Clarion and ~17.5 MW at Gamma, totaling ~28 MW by FY28. Repowering is evaluated machine-by-machine; older turbines still performing well are retained, and some urbanized sites may be monetized as real estate, though not at huge scale. (T. Shivaraman – MD & CEO; J. Kotteswari – CFO)
Debt, interest cost and deleveraging
- Question: What is the quarterly interest cost, debt trajectory and best achievable blended rate? (Rakesh T; Faisal Hawa – HG Hawa & Company)
- Answer: Blended rate is 9.1%; quarterly interest is ₹13–14 crores. FY27 debt will rise from ~₹525 crores to ~₹535 crores on ~₹100 crores repayments offset by ~₹170 crores new loans (Delta solar, 10 MW assets, Clarion repowering). Best rate achieved is 8.2% (HDFC old assets); targeting ~9% blended, with a possible 15 bps cut on the IREDA Beta loan through internal rating. (J. Kotteswari – CFO)
Promoter share pledge release
- Question: Why hasn't the 100% unpledging happened? (Rakesh T; Shivam Tumma)
- Answer: The pledge is linked to a promoter company loan of ₹400 crores; ~40% has been repaid ahead of schedule. The loan tenor runs to Sep-2027, but if repayments continue, the entire pledge could be released by end-FY27. (J. Kotteswari – CFO)
Andhra Pradesh interest receivable and provisioning
- Question: What is the status of the Andhra Pradesh government receivable and provision? (Narendra – Individual Investor)
- Answer: Principal was recovered after court cases;
₹20 crores of interest is pending because APERC is non-functional (no members). ₹6.5 crores (30%) has been provided under Ind-AS expected credit loss; management is legally entitled to the interest and expects recovery once APERC resumes. (T. Shivaraman – MD & CEO; J. Kotteswari – CFO)
Solar/BESS/hybrid strategy and economics
- Question: Will future solar include battery storage, and how do returns compare across repowering, new wind, solar and BESS? (Manoj Bagadia – Equicorp)
- Answer: Current 25 MW solar is pure solar and fully contracted; retrofitting BESS is under evaluation. Future solar will almost certainly include BESS, and existing wind farm sites offer at least 100 MW of hybrid solar potential. Repowering currently offers the best return; solar with battery and new wind are roughly equivalent. Single-cycle BESS economics are challenging with battery costs on the rise; management is seeking regulatory approval for two-cycle usage in Tamil Nadu, with clarity expected in 2–3 months. (T. Shivaraman – MD & CEO)
Europe entity liquidation
- Question: Are you liquidating the Europe business? (Narendra – Individual Investor)
- Answer: The company is liquidating a 100% Dutch intermediate holding company with no assets; the underlying 10.5 MW Croatia asset remains with the group and generates
EUR 1 million (₹9 crores) revenue per annum. (Management)
Key Takeaway
Orient Green Power reported a muted Q1 FY27, with revenue of ₹81.43 crores (-7% YoY), EBITDA of ₹60.01 crores (-9% YoY) and PAT of ₹23.94 crores (-16% YoY), as a delayed monsoon curtailed wind generation; new capacity (9.9 MW wind + 7 MW solar) partially offset the shortfall. The company commissioned 3.3 MW wind in Q1 and expects to commission 17.6 MW solar and 7.8 MW repowering by September 2026, with a further ~28 MW repowering pipeline by FY28. Debt is guided to ~₹535 crores by March 2027 with blended interest cost at ~9.1%, supported by ₹90–100 crores of repayments. Management remains committed to the 1 GW goal but has not given a revised timeline, citing share price and equity constraints; capital-raising, M&A and partner discussions are ongoing across multiple tracks. Key watch points are wind seasonality, Tamil Nadu regulatory clarity on BESS/hybrid, APERC's revival for the ₹20 crores interest recovery, and promoter pledge release targeted by end-FY27.