Metrics cut 3
- FY27 revenue growth guide lowered to 10-15% (from ~20%)
- FY27 EBITDA margin guide lowered to ~9.5% (from initial ~10%)
- Timeline for four HAM SPV sales deferred to Q2 FY27 (from June)
Event Participants
Executives
2 Paresh Mehta (CFO), Satish Parakh (MD)
Analysts
8 Aditya Sahu, Bhavin Modi, Daksh Prashad, Mudit Bhandari, Vaibhav Shah, Vasudev, Vishal Periwal, Zaid Mukadam
Financials & KPIs
| Metric | Reported | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Total Income (Standalone) | ₹1,320 crores | Flat YoY vs ₹1,339 crores in Q1 FY26; subdued highway awarding limited execution ramp-up |
| Total Income (Consolidated) | ₹1,534 crores | Down 21% YoY (₹1,937 crores); affected by absence of BOT/HAM monetization gains recorded in Q3 FY26 |
| EBITDA (Standalone) | ₹126 crores | Down 17% YoY; margin 9.5%; mobilization costs for new verticals (railways, international, industrial parks) weighed on profitability |
| EBITDA (Consolidated) | ₹292 crores | Down 55% YoY; margin 19%; base effect of prior-year asset monetization gains |
| PAT (Standalone) | ₹31.5 crores | Up 3% YoY vs ₹30.6 crores; lower interest expense offset margin pressure |
| PAT (Consolidated) | ₹127 crores | Lower consolidated EBITDA post-monetizations |
| Order Book (30 Jun 2026) | ₹15,251 crores | Road & railway ₹9,648 cr (63.3%), international ₹5,066 cr (33.2%), building EPC ₹536 cr (3.5%); road book split: HAM ₹1,500 cr, EPC ₹6,780 cr, railway ₹1,446 cr |
| Order Inflow (Q1) | ₹800 crores | Guyana highway ₹338 cr + Chhattisgarh gems & jewellery park ₹450 cr; L1 pipeline of ~₹1,800 cr |
| Toll Collection (Jaranagar) | ₹575 crores | Up 8% YoY in Q1 FY27 |
| Gross Debt (Standalone) | ~₹2,100 crores | Includes ₹17 cr quarterly interest to subsidiaries; post-monetization standalone debt expected ~₹1,200 cr (₹700 cr third party) |
| HAM Equity Invested (Cumulative) | ₹1,280 crores | 5 SPVs sold reducing exposure by ~₹600 cr; FY27 remaining outlay guided at ₹179 cr |
| Capex (Q1) | ~₹25 crores | ₹7 cr for international equipment purchase; FY27 target ~₹125 cr |
Geographic & Segment Commentary
- Road EPC: Contributed 49.3% of Q1 standalone revenue. Domestic highway awarding remains deeply subdued — NHAI awarded only ~5 km in June vs 102 km in May, with Apr-May construction activity down 34% YoY. Order book in road EPC at ₹6,780 crores.
- Road HAM: 10.2% of revenue; order book ₹1,500 crores. Management is executing a six-SPV asset monetization plan worth ₹1,100-1,150 crores; four assets expected to close by Q2 FY27 and two by Q3/Q4, with ₹700 crores from the first tranche.
- Power T&D: 18.4% of revenue; structural growth backed by renewable energy evacuation investments. Collections delayed due to client-side protocol issues, with ~₹100 crores locked in debtors; management expects normalization over the next two quarters.
- Railways: 11.5% of revenue; order book ₹1,446 crores. Record ₹2.93 lakh crore budget allocation and seven new high-speed rail corridors (~₹16 lakh crore potential) create a large addressable market beyond track construction into electrification, signaling, and freight infrastructure.
- International: ₹260 crores revenue in Q1 (80% from Guyana); order book ₹5,066 crores (33.2%). Operating in seven countries with plans to expand to ten; new Guyana highway order (₹338 cr) strengthens South America portfolio.
- Building EPC / Industrial Parks: 10.7% of revenue; entered industrial park development via Chhattisgarh gems & jewellery park (₹450 cr, 51% JV, 5-year construction, 30+60 year lease with ~₹1,000 cr total project outlay).
Company-Specific & Strategic Commentary
- Diversification Beyond Roads: Proactively pivoting into railways, power T&D, international, and industrial parks to offset the weak domestic highway cycle; ~50% of order book now outside traditional domestic road EPC.
- Asset Monetization: Six HAM SPVs being sold for ₹1,100-1,150 crores; four assets (₹700 cr) to close by September/early October (revised from June due to compliance requirements), two by Q3/Q4. Proceeds to significantly cut debt and interest cost.
- Stake Rationalization: Diluted stake in Puri Study Technologies from 59% to 39.33% (reclassified to associate) to bring in a strategic partner for SPV-level value creation.
- Working Capital Infusion: ~₹250 crores deployed in March for new projects where billing is yet to commence; investment is planned and expected to convert to revenue in H2.
- Large Bid Pipeline: ~₹1 lakh crore NHAI/MoRTH bids, ~₹25,000 crore state bids, ~₹50,000 crore railways bids in pipeline; ₹8,000 crores of bids submitted and awaiting opening. NHAI moving to larger packages (e.g., four projects in UP, NHRDCL northeast, Hyderabad) expected to rationalize competition.
Guidance & Outlook
| Metric | Guidance / Outlook | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (FY27) | 10-15% (lowered from ~20%) | Subdued highway awarding and supply chain uncertainties; H1 weak with H2 ramp-up expected |
| Order Inflow (FY27) | ₹6,000-8,000 crores | ₹800 cr booked in Q1; ~₹1,800 cr L1 expected to convert in Q2; balance over three quarters |
| EBITDA Margin (FY27) | ~9.5% | Half a point below initial 10% guidance; mobilization costs on new verticals to rationalize in H2 |
| FY28 EBITDA Margin | 10.5-11% | Typical project margins should recover as new projects ramp up |
| Capex (FY27) | ~₹125 crores | Q1 spend ~₹25 cr (₹7 cr international equipment); balance for domestic and international purchases |
| HAM Equity Outlay | FY27: ₹179 cr; FY28: ₹72 cr; FY29: ₹72 cr | Substantially reduced post-monetization of six SPVs |
| Interest Cost | FY27: ₹225-240 cr; FY28: ~₹200-210 cr | Down from ₹313 cr in FY26; driven by monetization proceeds and working capital release |
| Asset Monetization (6 SPVs) | ₹1,100-1,150 crores | Four assets by Q2 (~₹700 cr), two by Q3/Q4; possible holdbacks of ₹30-40 cr on compliance |
Risks & Constraints
| Risk | Context |
|---|---|
| Subdued Domestic Highway Awarding | NHAI awarded only 5 km in June vs 102 km in May; Apr-May construction down 34% YoY. Sector focus shifting from awarding to execution/land availability; could delay core road EPC revenue ramp-up. |
| Power T&D Collection Delays | Working capital locked in debtors (~₹100 cr build-up) due to client-side protocol issues in power transmission clients. Expected to normalize in next two quarters, but creates near-term cash flow pressure. |
| Asset Monetization Timing/Holdbacks | ₹30-40 cr potential holdbacks across the six SPV sales due to compliance/authority requirements; four-asset close already slipped from June to September-end/early October. |
| Supply Chain Uncertainty | Management explicitly cited "various uncertainties particularly supply chain" as a key reason for lowering FY27 revenue growth guidance from 20% to 10-15%. |
| H1 Margin Dilution | Mobilization and establishment costs for new verticals (railways, international, industrial parks) suppressed Q1 EBITDA margin to 9.5%; recovery assumes H2 ramp-up as per plan. |
Q&A Highlights
FY27 Guidance Revision
- Question: What is the revised revenue, order inflow, and margin guidance? (Aditya Sahu, HDFC Securities)
- Answer: Revenue growth lowered from 20% to 10-15% due to subdued awarding and supply chain uncertainties; order inflow guided at ₹6,000-8,000 crores with ₹800 cr booked in Q1 and ₹1,800 cr L1; FY27 EBITDA margin at ~9.5%. (Satish Parakh, Paresh Mehta)
Asset Monetization Timeline & Realization
- Question: Has the timeline for selling six SPVs been revised, and what are the realization numbers? (Aditya Sahu, HDFC Securities)
- Answer: Four assets to close by September-end/early October (revised from June due to compliance/handover requirements); two assets by Q3/Q4. Total realization ₹1,100-1,150 crores, with first four assets at ~₹700 crores. (Paresh Mehta)
Debt Breakup & Interest Cost Trajectory
- Question: What is the debt breakup and expected post-monetization debt? (Vaibhav Shah, JM Financial)
- Answer: Standalone debt ~₹2,100 crores including ₹17 cr quarterly interest paid to subsidiaries; post-monetization third party debt ~₹500-600 cr, total ~₹1,200 cr. FY27 interest cost guided at ₹225-240 cr vs ₹313 cr in FY26. (Paresh Mehta)
Margin Outlook & Cost Rationalization
- Question: Can margins recover to 10-10.5% in FY28? (Vaibhav Shah, JM Financial)
- Answer: FY28 margins should improve to 10.5-11% as new project mobilization costs rationalize; H2 FY27 should see meaningful revenue and margin ramp-up. (Paresh Mehta)
International Expansion Strategy
- Question: What is the rationale for growing the international order book — margins or limited domestic awarding? (Bhavin Modi, Anand Rathi)
- Answer: International is an independent vertical with presence in seven countries, expanding to ten; margins and competition vary by geography, evaluated on a case-by-case basis. (Satish Parakh)
Working Capital & Power T&D Collections
- Question: How are collections across segments, and what is the working capital impact? (Mudit Bhandari, IIFL Capital)
- Answer: ~₹250 crores infused in March for new projects before billing begins; Power T&D collections delayed due to protocol increases but expected to rationalize in next two quarters; road collections are in sync with milestones. (Paresh Mehta)
Chennai ORR & Jaora Nagar Monetization
- Question: What is the status of Chennai ORR and Jaora Nagar SPV sales? (Vasudev, Nuvama)
- Answer: Potential investors are conducting due diligence on both; Chennai ORR expected to close by year-end, Jaora Nagar by March-end FY27 or H1 FY28. Invested equity: Jaora ₹278 cr (book value ~₹350 cr), Chennai ORR ₹200 cr (book value ~₹300 cr for 100% stake). (Paresh Mehta)
NHAI BOT & Competition
- Question: Will Ashoka participate in large NHAI BOT projects (₹5,000 cr+), and how is competition shaping up? (Unidentified analyst)
- Answer: Evaluating BOT projects on a case-by-case basis, participating where comfortable on traffic and execution; NHAI's move to larger packages (e.g., four projects in UP, NHRDCL northeast, Hyderabad) should rationalize competition to quality players. (Satish Parakh)
Key Takeaway
Ashoka Buildcon's Q1 FY27 standalone revenue was flat YoY at ₹1,320 crores with EBITDA down 17% to ₹126 crores (9.5% margin), while PAT rose 3% to ₹31.5 crores; consolidated income fell 21% due to prior-year asset monetization. Management lowered FY27 revenue growth guidance to 10-15% (from 20%) and EBITDA margin to ~9.5%, citing subdued highway awarding (NHAI awarded just 5 km in June) and supply chain uncertainties. The order book stands at ₹15,251 crores with international exposure at 33.2%, supported by new Guyana (₹338 cr) and Chhattisgarh industrial park (₹450 cr) wins. Strategy centers on diversification into railways, power T&D, and industrial parks, coupled with monetization of six HAM SPVs (₹1,100-1,150 cr) — four closing by Q2 — which should lower FY27 interest cost to ₹225-240 crores from ₹313 crores. Watch points include Power T&D collection delays (₹100 cr debtor build-up), H1 margin dilution from mobilization costs, and exact timing of remaining asset sales; FY28 margins are guided at 10.5-11% as new projects ramp.